At the online introduction meeting, the SHURA Energy Transition Center announced the study “Technical and Economic Evaluation of Turkey’s Green Hydrogen Production and Export Potential,” which was created in collaboration with the Bilkent Energy Policy Research Center and the German Energy Agency.
Two various scenarios for the growth of renewable energy supply and three different scenarios for green hydrogen production were created in the paper, which was prepared only with the use of renewable energy for hydrogen production potentials in mind.
According to the analysis, Turkey can create up to 3.4 million tons of green hydrogen annually in 2050 with the right investments and legislation, and 1.5 million to 1.9 million tons of this may be exported.
Green hydrogen might replace 5 to 10% of overall energy consumption in the industrial, natural gas, and transportation sectors by 2050, resulting in an annual need of 1-2 million tons of green hydrogen in the country.
By 2050, it is expected that transportation would account for half of domestic demand, industry will account for one-quarter of hydrogen demand, and the remaining will be met by blending green hydrogen into the natural gas network.
Turkey’s solar, wind, and hydropower installed power, which was 44 gigawatts last year, might climb to 120 gigawatts in 2050, according to the report’s Reference Scenario. During this time, total yearly power output from these sources is expected to meet 53% of Turkey’s electrical consumption (290 terawatt hours).
The “advanced scenario,” in which the technological capability for wind and solar energy is employed, is expected to add 45 gigawatts of capacity and produce 124.4 terawatt hours of additional power per year.
It is estimated that, with this extra capacity, renewable energy sources would be able to fulfill 84 percent of net power demand in 2050.
Annual green hydrogen production from renewable resources is expected to reach 3.4 million tons, with a total investment amount of between 85 and 119 billion dollars required to secure domestic usage and export of hydrogen.
In this perspective, an average yearly expenditure of 3-4 billion dollars is required between 2021 and 2050.
Green hydrogen generation is predicted to provide 6-8 billion dollars annually to the Turkish economy in 2050, based on estimated costs and likely market price.
Many nations will export green hydrogen to meet their climate change commitments, according to Hannes Seidl, Head of the German Energy Agency’s Energy Systems and Energy Services Department, and “Turkey can acquire a piece of this market.”
It has a lot of potential to take its position in the market by creating green hydrogen from renewable energy,” he said.
“There will be a need for more solid climate and energy transformation objectives for 2030 and 2053,” SHURA Energy Transformation Center Research Coordinator Hasan Aksoy said, noting that Turkey became a party to the Paris Agreement last month.
It’s crucial to comprehend the function of hydrogen in attaining these goals. On a worldwide basis, net-zero emissions objectives set for 2050 stress green hydrogen as a shared option for decarbonizing the whole energy system,” it concluded. “Considering the current renewable energy supply and the potential of other resources, the green hydrogen supply potential, usage areas, and costs should be evaluated,” Aksoy said, noting that the role of renewable energy sources, energy efficiency potentials, and the role of green hydrogen should be understood and plans made accordingly in the transformation of Turkey’s energy system. The terms “and it’s crucial to grasp the various export potentials” were used.
